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Driver Recommendations for the 2010 Aaron’s 499 at Talladega

Posted by chadmusselman on April 20, 2010

Talladega.  Big, bad Talladega.  This is a track where starting position means nothing, and anyone can get caught up in “The Big One” and have a good day go very bad.  Surprisingly, only 3 chasers from last year are in the top 10 of best average finishes at Talladega; Kurt Busch, Tony Stewart, & Mark Martin.  No Jeff Gordon, Jimmie Johnson, or Denny Hamlin.

This could be a tough one to pick the winner, or even someone to finish in the top ten, but here’s my attempt at it.

This Week’s Recommendations

Chaser: Kurt Busch
Kurt hasn’t had too much success here recently, with only one top ten in the last 4 races, but his overall record is impressive, although a win has eluded him.  Kurt has compiled 6 top fives and 12 top tens in 18 career races and an average finish of 13.1, 3rd best among active drivers.  At one point in his career he had 7 consecutive top ten finishes at the track. This could be the race that Kurt gets his first Talladega win.

Alternate Chaser: Greg Biffle
My theory for picking Greg is the exact opposite of Kurt Busch.  Historically Greg has done poor at Talladega with only two top tens in 14 races and an average finish of 22.4, but he’s been hot here lately.  Last year was when he collected his only two top ten finishes at the track.  I think that recent success could carry over to this season and he can score another top ten finish.

Jeff Burton
Jeff has a string of three consecutive top ten finishes at Talladega, and 13 in his 32 career races.  I’ve said it before, and I’ll keep saying it all season, Jeff Burton is a solid driver that consistently scores top ten to fifteen finishes.  He’s a good guy to have on your team for consistent points.

Dale Earnhardt Jr.
Dale is the 2nd most winning driver at Talladega with 5 wins.  (Jeff Gordon has 6.)  Along with those 5 wins he has 8 top fives and 11 top tens in 20 career races for an average finish of 14th.  A stat that may not mean anything, but could be useful, is that Jr. has 3 consecutive top ten finishes in the spring Talladega race.

Dark Horse: Brad Keselowski
Believe it or not, Brad has the best average finish at Talladega; 4.5.  Of course he only has two career races at the track with a win and 8th place finish.  This is obviously a track that he feels comfortable with, so why not pick him and take chance on the kid this weekend?

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One Response to “Driver Recommendations for the 2010 Aaron’s 499 at Talladega”

  1. […] Driver Recommendations for the 2010 Aaron’s 499 at Talladega – Chad Musselman […]

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