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Driver Recommendations for 2010 Ford 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway

Posted by chadmusselman on November 15, 2010

Well, NASCAR finally got what they wanted when they created the Chase format.  The final race of the season really is meaningful this year.  Denny Hamlin leads Jimmie Johnson by a scant 15 points.  That means that if both drivers finish in the top eleven, Jimmie would have to finish 4 spots ahead of Denny to win the championship (assuming they both lead a lap, and neither leads the most laps).  Of course there’s 1000 ways this could play out on Sunday, so we’ll just have to watch to see who pulls it off.  And, if both Jimmie and Denny have a bad day (I don’t see that happening.), Kevin Harvick could sneak in there and take the championship.  Kevin does have the 2nd best average finishing position here among active drivers.

This Week’s Recommendations:

Chaser: Carl Edwards
He won last week and may be building some momentum for the 2011 season.  He’s averaging a 6.5 place finish in Miami which is easily tops among active drivers.  In six career races at the track he’s finished in the top ten 5 times with 3 top five finishes and one win.  Don’t be surprised if Carl does a backflip at the end of the race to celebrate another victory.

Alternate Chaser: Kevin Harvick
His 8.4 place average finish is second only to Carl Edwards.  He’s raced here 9 times and hasn’t won a race yet, but does have 4 top five and 7 top ten finishes.  He’ll be pushing hard to try and get the win and finish ahead of Jimmie and Denny to steal the championship from them.

A.J. Allmendinger
A.J. only has two races at Miami in his career, but he’s done well in them finishing 10th and 11th.  There aren’t many non-chasers that do well here, but A.J. is one.  He should rack up some points for you this weekend.

Mark Martin
Mark has an average finish of 12th place in ten races at the Homestead-Miami Speedway.  He doesn’t have a win, but does have four top five and five top ten finishes.  He’s not a lock for a top ten finish, but then again, no one outside of the Chase may be, so Mark is as good as anyone to have on your team.

Dark Horse: Martin Truex Jr.
It’s been a disappointing year for Martin Truex Jr. sitting 22nd in points.  Martin has done surprisingly well in Miami, with an 11.8 place average finish here in five career races.  He’s also finished in the top ten four times with one top five.  Not too shabby for a driver who’s career average finish is 19.7.  If you need to make a late push in the standings to jump a spot, Martin may be the guy to put on your team to get that done.


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