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Posts Tagged ‘Hollywood Casino 400’

Fantasy NASCAR Recommendations for 2011 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway

Posted by chadmusselman on October 4, 2011

Kurt Busch’s win last week and Jimmie Johnson’s second place finish show how much movement there can be in the standings with the chase format and new points system.  Both drivers moved up five spots; to 4th and 5th, making them contenders for the title once again.  (Busch is actually tied in points for 3rd.)  Tony Stewart’s 25th place finish hurt, but definitely didn’t take him out of contention.  He is only 9 points out of the lead, tied for 3rd place with Kurt Busch.  With the new points format it seems that anyone currently in the top 9 are still in the hunt.  Right now Jeff Gordon holds down that spot, only 19 points out of the lead.

Bad news for Dale Earnhardt Jr, Ryan Newman, and Denny Hamlin though.  They may have to start thinking about next season and be glad they made the chase in 2011.  Earnhardt is 34 points out, Newman 41, and Hamlin 68.  There are simply too many good drivers to be passed up for either one of these guys to have a legitimate chance at the title, although that’s not to say they will give up trying.

So, what have we learned three races into the Chase?  The field is still wide open and there are a lot of drivers with a legitimate chance to take home the title.  Heck, this could be the same line I use when we’re six or seven races into the chase.  Let’s hope so!

This Week’s Recommendations:

Chaser: Jeff Gordon
No driver gets around the Kansas Speedway like Jeff Gordon.  His 8.1 place average finish is the best, his two wins are tied for the most, and the eight top five and nine top ten finishes at the track are also the most at the track.  In short, Jeff Gordon is awesome at Kansas.  His worst finish of 39th was back in 2006.  Since then he has five consecutive top five finishes here.  His only other finish outside of the top ten was in 2004 when he finished 13th.  Gordon is also averaging an 8.8 place finish over the last five races this season.  Sounds like a good recipe for a top five run and possibly another win.

Alternate Chaser: Tony Stewart
If Jeff Gordon is the No. 1 driver at Kansas, then Tony Stewart has to be 1B.  Like Gordon, Stewart has raced at Kansas 11 times and has two victories.  The slight difference is that Stewart only has five top five and eight top ten finishes at the track.  His 11.9 place average finish here isn’t quite up to Gordon’s mark, but pretty close.  In 2007 & 2008 Steward finished a horrible 40th and 39th, so it would appear that he’s gotten the bad luck out of the way and he can battle for another top five or win this weekend in Kansas.

Greg Biffle
I guess Biffle has to be driver 1C in Kansas since his record is almost as impressive as Gordon and Stewart’s.  The Biff is averaging an 8.3 place finish at the track, has two wins, six top five and seven top ten finishes in ten career races.  This has to be a big no brainer to get Biffle on your team this week.  He had a bad finish last week, but don’t let that turn you off.  Biffle will be primed and ready to go this weekend.  He knows Kansas is a track that he can dominate and have a chance to win the race.

A.J. Allmendinger
Allmendinger has four career races at the Kansas Speedway.  In his first race, in 2008, he finished 9th.  In Allmendinger’s second race at the track he finished 17th; third race, 10th, and fourth race earlier this year he finished 27th.  See the trend?  That of course means that Allmending will finish in the top ten this weekend.  Well, maybe not, but he has shown that he can get a good finish at the track, and has a little bit of momentum after a 7th place run last weekend.  32% of you owned Allmendinger last week, so there is still a chance to put him on your team and gain points.

Dark Horse: David Ragan
David Ragain really is a darkhorse for this race.  He does have one top ten finish in Kansas over his five appearances at the track, but a 17.6 place average finish isn’t too impressive.  Outside of the 2009 race where Ragan finished 35th, he actually hasn’t done too badly.  He has finishes of 13th, 16th, 8th, and 16th.  These aren’t great, but finishing in the top 15 or top 20 isn’t horrible either and it’s steady points.  Ragan was on less than 5% of the fantasy teams last week.  If you need to make up points, he could be your guy.  Odds are good that he’ll be battling for a top 15 finish, and may even sneak into the top ten.

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