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Posts Tagged ‘Kobalt Tools 500’

Fantasy NASCAR Recommendations for 2011 Kobalt Tools 500 at Phoenix International Raceway

Posted by chadmusselman on November 7, 2011

Only two races left and three points separating Carl Edwards and Tony Stewart.  Tony Stewart has really turned on the jets in the Chase amassing four wins in the eight races so far.  This should be one of the most exciting finishes to the season ever!  I have to give NASCAR kudos for the change in the point system and making every race of the season count for the championship.  There won’t be anyone wrapping up the title a race or two before the end of the season anymore.

The next to last race is in Phoenix, a relatively flat 1 mile tri-oval.  Ten of the chasers have won here in the past and only two regular drivers not in the chase have won a race here.  The main theme for picking drivers this week will be who’s been hot recently.  Most of the picks this week have a high average finish over the last five races.

This Week’s Recommendations:

Chaser: Jimmie Johnson
Okay, so Jimmie Johnson hasn’t exactly torn it up over the last five races, but dog-gone it, he’s really awesome at Phoenix.  He leads all active drivers with four wins here, and also has 11 top five and 14 top ten finishes in only 16 career races.  That’s right; Johnson has only finished outside of the top ten twice in his career at Phoenix.  He won’t win his 6th consecutive title, but he very well can win the race this weekend.

Alternate Chaser: Tony Stewart
It’s harder to get hotter than Stewart is right now.  He has won two in a row and finished in the top ten in four straight.  Stewart is only three points out of the lead and charging hard.  He’s going to be very focused and determined to get ahead of Carl Edwards before the final race in Homestead.  And, don’t forget that Stewart has won here before, collecting 7 top five and 10 top ten finishes along the way.  In 19 career races you may not think that’s very impressive, but I don’t know how you can go against the run Stewart is on right now.  He was on less than 10% of the fantasy teams last week, so pick him up this week and get those points you missed.

Kasey Kahne
Kahne has averaged an 8th place finish over the last five races, good enough for 3rd best.  He’s really doing a good job of building confidence and proving that Rick Hendrick is getting a quality driver for the 2012 season.  In 14 career races at Phoenix Kahne has only finished in the top ten four times with one top five, but you can throw those numbers out.  He’s on a great run right now with five top ten finishes in the last six races.  That should be good enough of a run to put Kahne on your team and ride the streak. 

Greg Biffle
Biffle is the 4th hottest driver over the last five races, averaging an 11.4 place finish.  His average finish at Phoenix isn’t too bad either (14.9).  Biffle has had success here in the past with four top five and five top ten finishes in 15 races.  He’s usually in the top fifteen at the track and should be again, and contending for another top ten finish. 

Dark Horse: Mark Martin
Okay, so Mark Martin hasn’t been hot of late, but I can’t ignore his record at Phoenix.  He’s averaging an 8.8 place finish with two wins, 12 top five, and 19 top ten finishes in 29 career races.  Only Jimmie Johnson has a better average finish than Martin.  I think Mart Martin has too much pride and is too good of a driver to mail in the final two races of the season.  He should show some life this weekend and have a shot at the top ten when the race is winding down.



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Driver Recommendations for 2010 Kobalt Tools 500 at Phoenix International Raceway

Posted by chadmusselman on November 9, 2010

Finally, some life out of the drivers!  Kudos to Jeff Gordon for actually getting mad enough to confront Jeff Burton and try to punch him after being wrecked.  If you missed it, check out the clip:  The wreck and fight start around the 2 minute mark.  I like to see Jeff Gordon showing the emotion and proving that he really does care and still gets worked up about racing.  Maybe that emotion and fire can fuel him to a good finish this weekend in Phoenix.

With only two races left in the season Denny finds himself in the lead by 33 points over Jimmie Johnson and 59 points over Kevin Harvick.  Can he hold onto the lead, or will Jimmie have his 5-peat?

This Week’s Recommendations:

Chaser: Jimmie Johnson
Like almost every other track on the circuit Jimmie Johnson has dominated the Phoenix International Raceway.  He’s averaging a 4.9 place finish over his 14 career races at the track.  He only has two finishes outside of the top ten.  Amazing!  In addition to the 12 top ten finishes Jimmie has 5 wins and 9 top five finishes.  There’s no way he’ll let Denny win his championship, so look for Jimmie to win this weekend and possibly retake the points lead.

Alternate Chaser: Denny Hamlin
Denny is pretty good at Phoenix himself with six top ten and five top five finishes in 10 races.  He’s averaging an 11.6 place finish here.  He’s in the points lead looking for his first career championship.  He is getting hot at the right time.  He’s averaging a 4.6 place finish over the past five races.  This may be the best chance he ever gets to with the Cup title, and it looks like he’s taking capitalizing on it.

Mark Martin
Mark is the owner of the second best average finish among active drivers (8.7).  He has also won here twice, and racked up 12 top five and 18 top ten finishes in 27 career races.  Mark has also been hot lately, averaging a 7.2 place finish over the last 5 races.  He’s good, and he should be on your team this weekend.  He’ll be contending for the win come the end of the race.

Juan Montoya
Juan only has two top ten finishes in Phoenix in 7 career races, but they were in two of the last three races here so he’s learned how to handle the track.  Juan isn’t spectacular, but he’s a solid driver and should content for another top ten finish this weekend.

Dark Horse: David Reutimann
Like Juan, David has two top ten finishes in Phoenix in the last three races here.  He’s a dark horse for a reason, but last season he showed potential at the track and proved that he can finish in the top ten.  If you’re desperate for points he could be a good pickup since not many others will probably have him on their team.

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Driver Recommendations for 2010 Kobalt Tools 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway

Posted by chadmusselman on March 1, 2010

Atlanta Motor SpeedwayAtlanta is the fastest track on the NASCAR circuit.  Lots of speed, and lots of excitement.  With the high speeds and relaxed bumping rules, look for the veterans to be the ones to beat on Sunday.  This track lends itself to some exciting finishes as well.  Sunday should be a good show, so strap into your couches and get ready to take it all in.

This Week’s Recommendations

Chaser: Jeff Gordon
Jeff came close to winning last week in Las Vegas, and should be battling for the win again this week in Atlanta.  He has 5 consecutive top ten finishes in Atlanta along with 4 career wins.  He’s averaging a 12.3 place finish in is 35 career races at the track, along with 14 top fives and 23 top tens.  Jeff hasn’t been a dominant driver for about 10 years, but with his showing in Las Vegas, and his record at Atlanta, look for another top 5 performance out of Jeff, maybe a win.

Alternate Chaser: Jimmie Johnson
I know, I know.  I always pick him.  Well, I wouldn’t do it if he weren’t so good.  He had a career worst 36th place finish at Atlanta in the fall race last year.  The only other time he finished outside the top 30 in Atlanta (2003) he came back with a 3rd place finish in the next race.  Look for something similar this weekend.  Oh, and his career averaging finish position of 10.7 in Atlanta is best among active drivers.  Did I say he was good?

Kevin Harvick
No driver has been better this season than Kevin.  He’s averaging a 3.7 place finish so far this season, and leading the points race early.  Historically Kevin hasn’t been that great in Atlanta (averaging a 20.4 place finish) but of his 5 top ten finishes at the track, 3 of them have come in the last 4 races.  Maybe he’s figuring things out here, and learning how to avoid trouble.  He’s hot this year, and he should be on your team until he cools off.

Matt Kenseth
Mat has also been pretty good in the early going of the 2010 season, averaging a 6.7 place finish, good enough to be tied for 2nd best.  He’s also averaging a 13.7 place finish at Atlanta over his career, good enough for 6th best among active drivers.  He doesn’t have any wins here, but in 20 races has managed to take home 7 top fives and 11 top tens.  Matt should be solid on Sunday.

Dark Horse: Dale Earnhardt Jr.
What can you say?  Dale has pretty much started 2010 off like he finished 2009.  Poorly.  Sure, he finished 2nd at Daytona, but he always runs well there, so it almost doesn’t count.  He finds himself 15th in points and needed another top ten run to get his confidence up.  Atlanta could be the track that he does that.  He has a great average finish here (11.9) and does have a win, 8 top fives, and 10 top tens in 21 career races.  If he can keep his focus Dale could easily finish in the top 8 on Sunday.  He may be worth taking a chance on and putting on your team.

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